เรื่อง: Quad - Dynamics, Relevance and the Way Forward with Recommendations for India and ASEAN, (วปอ.9181)
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หมวดหมู่:
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งานวิจัย
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มิติ:
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มิติยุทธศาสตร์/Strategy
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พื้นที่/ขอบเขต:
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ภายในประเทศ/Domestic/Local
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ผู้เขียน:
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วิทยาลัยป้องกันราชอาณาจักร, Col Siddharth Chopra, (วปอ.9181)
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หน่วยงานเจ้าของ:
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วิทยาลัยป้องกันราชอาณาจักร
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ปีที่พิมพ์:
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2562
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จำนวนหน้า:
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การเปิดเผยข้อมูล:
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สาธารณะ
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บทคัดย่อ:
ติดต่อหน่วยเจ้าของ (N/A)
abstract:
i
Abstract
Title : Quad - Dynamics, Relevance and the Way Forward with
Recommendations for India and ASEAN.
Field : Strategy
Name : Colonel Siddharth Chopra Course : NDC Class : 62
The shift in the economic centre of gravity to Asia and the rise
of China as a global superpower in the 21st century has changed the dynamics
of the region. The development of the Indo-Pacific regional construct
with a focus on a maritime domain has led to the emergence of new forms
of security cooperation. The Quad consultation between Australia, India,
Japan and USA was revived in 2017 after a failed attempt at coming
together as a security dialogue in 2007. This study aims to examine the
revival of the Quad under the dynamics of the Indo-Pacific regional
construct and theories of alliance/alignment.
The purpose for the revival of the Quad is obscure. Writings on
the subject indicate to two factors that have brought the four democracies
together for the second time; a shared threat perception towards China
and shared objectives in the Indo-Pacific region. The study has examined
factors based on key indicators and analysis of official policy documents,
statements and remarks of officials at the highest level to reach an
inference that even though the four nations have varied reasons to view
China as a threat, they aim to coordinate their policies especially in the
security and infrastructure development domains to realise their shared
objective under the concept of a ‘Free, Open, Inclusive and Prosperous’
Indo-Pacific.ii
Having examined the purpose and relevance of the Quad, the
study highlights the way forward for the Quad in terms of structural
recommendations, and measures to strengthen the partnership in security
and infrastructure development domains. Recommendations for India towards
balancing its interests in the Quad and overall regional environment, and
recommendations for ASEAN in engaging with the Quad are also shortlisted.
Despite some differences among the Quad members in threat
perception vis-à-vis China, desired objectives of the grouping and resource
availability to support the objectives, the cooperation among the Quad
countries is likely to deepen. The Quad is not directed against a particular
nation, however there is unity in opposing actions which serve to unilaterally
change established rules and are in contravention to internationally accepted
behaviour. China’s continuing efforts to challenge status quo and rulesbased order has contributed to the urgency and timeliness of the Quad to
emerge as an effective grouping in the Indo-Pacific region.
Going forward the Quad should take a long term view of the
shared objectives and develop strategies accordingly. The focus should be
restricted to core themes rather than too diverse an agenda. Security and
infrastructure development are identified as the as focus areas for the
Quad. In the security field, the Quad should deepen military cooperation
to share intelligence, improve interoperability, enhance MDA capabilities,
share logistics and improve access to defence technology. In the infrastructure
development field, the Quad should cooperate on standard setting, establish
an Indo-Pacific Infrastructure Development Coordination Agency and
create an Indo-Pacific Quadrilateral Infrastructure Funding Pool as a
viable alternative to Belt and Road Initiative.
